United States logs world’s highest coronavirus death toll

Maria Caspani and Jonathan AllenNEW YORK – The United States surpassed Italy on Saturday as the country with the highest reported coronavirus death toll, recording more than 20 000 deaths since the outbreak began, according to a Reuters tally.

The grim milestone was reached as president Donald Trump mulled over when the country, which has registered more than half a million infections, might begin to see a return to normality.

The United States has seen its highest death tolls to date in the epidemic with roughly 2 000 deaths a day reported for the last four days in a row, the largest number in and around New York City. Even that is viewed as understated, as New York is still figuring out how best to include a surge in deaths at home in its official statistics.

Public health experts have warned the US death toll could reach 200 000 over the summer if unprecedented stay-at-home orders that have closed businesses and kept most Americans indoors are lifted when they expire at the end of the month.

Most of the curbs, however, including school closures and emergency orders keeping non-essential workers largely confined to home, flow from powers vested in state governors, not the president.

Nonetheless, Trump has said he wants life to return to normal as soon as possible and that the measures aimed at curbing the spread of Covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, carry their own economic and public-health cost.

Speaking by telephone with Fox News on Saturday evening, Trump said he would make a decision “reasonably soon”, based on the advice of “a lot of very smart people, a lot of professionals, doctors and business leaders”. He said “instinct” would also play a role.

“People want to get back, they want to get back to work. We have to bring our country back,” he said.

Trump’s trade adviser, Peter Navarro, told Fox News that “purist medical professionals” who took the position that the only way to minimise loss of life was to shut down the economy and society until the virus was “vanquished” were “half right”.

He said: “That will minimise the deaths from the virus directly,” but added that economic shocks also killed people, through higher depression and suicide rates and drug abuse.

“So that very tough decision this president is going to be making is to have to weigh the balance and figure out which path does more damage.”

The current federal guidelines advocating widespread social-distancing measures run until 30 April. Trump, who is seeking re-election in November, will then have to decide whether to extend them or start encouraging people to go back to work and a more normal way of life.

The stay-at-home orders imposed in recent weeks across 42 states have taken a huge toll on commerce and raised questions over how long business closures and travel curbs can be sustained.

The number of Americans seeking unemployment benefits in the last three weeks surpassed 16 million, as weekly new claims topped six million for a second straight time last week.

The government has said the economy shed 701 000 jobs in March. That was the most job losses since the Great Recession of 2008 and ended the longest employment boom in US history from late 2010.

But there have been glimmers of hope.

Dr Anthony Fauci, the government’s top infectious disease expert, and other health officials have pointed to falling rates of virus hospitalisations and admissions to intensive care units, particularly in New York state, as signs that social distancing measures are paying off.

The Trump administration renewed talk of quickly reopening the economy after an influential university research model cut its US mortality forecasts to 60 000 deaths by 4 August, down from at least 100 000, assuming social-distancing measures stay.

However, new government data shows a summer surge in infections if stay-at-home orders are lifted after only 30 days, according to projections first reported by The New York Times and confirmed by a Department of Homeland Security official. – Nampa-Reuters

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